How to Watch Hurricanes and Tropical Storms in Windy
We recommend using satellite imagery to see a hurricane in real-time. If you want to track the forecast, we recommend doing so with wind, gust, wave, or wind accumulation layers.
Latest Update on Tropical Storm/Hurricane Beryl
A hurricane warning is in effect for the area on the projected path, where conditions are anticipated to deteriorate by Wednesday and Thursday, bringing destructive winds and life-threatening storm surges.
NHC Key Messages for Tropical Storm Beryl
All warnings (CAP alerts) issued by local met offices can be found in the Weather Warnings layer
Comments (3)
I had great interest in Beryl, as a family member lives on the Yucatan peninsula. Three models available: NHC-At, UKM, ECMWF
In general, NHC-At has been pretty good, ECMWF unrealistically low, and UKM truly crazy-low.
On Wed as Beryl approached Jamaica, I noted that just after a forecast update the discrepancy became rather extreme. Current wind speed was ~140mph. The noon forecast, only a few hours later, was literally a drop to half that in the UKM model, and a bit less extreme in ECMWF. Even 3 hours before noon, with wind speed increasing, the UKM forecast only increased to 80mph.
The result: only the NHC-At model gave me any sense that it could produce a believable forecast.
Why are the other two models used at all for this purpose?